Friday, January 30, 2015

Crude Oil "Rail or Pipeline"




                Over the last few years crude oil shipment within the United States has been sky rocketing. With rail and pipeline among the largest transportation avenues. The reason for this market uptick is to do with the innovation of hydraulic fracturing or better known as "fracking". With the discovery of the Bakken shale fields in North Dakota and Montana, and the Barnett fields in Texas just to name two. The United States is approaching the record high for crude oil extracted per day that we set back in the 1970's of 9.6 million barrels per day. In 2013 we were at 7.5 million barrels per day, a massive increase from the 2008 level of 5 million barrels per day. This upward trend is still going on. Currently the United States is in a reverse bidding trend with Saudi Arabia and Russia. Each country is trying to drive the price lower in an effort to force their competition out of business by out lasting them. As of 2013 Russia sat at the top of the list for crude oil production with 10.05 million barrels per day. Where Saudi Arabia was around the 9.8 million barrels per day mark, in 2014 how ever Saudi Arabia took a downward trend with production at 9.6 million barrels per day. A difference of around 200,000 barrels per day.
                With production on the rise, the question now becomes how to transport it? Currently many of the refineries are located along the coast, or in major city centers with the large industry areas. The drilling areas where the crude oil originates in many cases is on the other side of the country. So the only viable ways to get the oil to the refineries is either by truck, rail or pipeline. There are pros and cons to each method. Looking at trucking; While it is the most flexible amongst the three, it is also the most expensive for the least amount moved. Pipeline is the most widely used, it is the cheapest method for transporting, but is ridged. With the pipeline it is impossible to change which market you are sending the oil to, also pipelines are notoriously dangerous and involve a lot to maintain and construct. In areas like North Dakota the current pipelines lack the capacity to keep up with crude oil production. The last option for cross country shipping is rail. Rail has become a very popular choice in the last few years. With originating carloads in 2012 at 152,676, compared to the number of originating car loads in 2013 being 299,652. That's an increase of almost 96 percent. These numbers were looking at the first 9 months of the year, the expected year end totals for 2013 are projected to be around 400,000 originating carloads. While rail is a great choice for the oil companies, it may not be the best choice for us. There is an ongoing debate on just how safe crude oil shipped over rail is. While pipelines have more accidents and spills compared to rail, that does not necessarily mean that rail in inherently safer. by just looking at the numbers pipelines spilled almost 20 million gallons of oil from 2002 - 2012. while rail spilled just 95,000 gallons over the same time frame. While these numbers are vastly in favor of rail, we must take into account the volume of oil transported by each. During these years pipelines were transporting billions of gallons of crude oil, where rail was only at a fraction of that amount. As it stands rail is much more dangerous not only to the environment, but also to population centers. Much of the pipelines in the United States travel through unpopulated areas, through no man's lands as it were. However rail passes through almost every major city, including Athens Ohio. The rail line Norfolk Southern transports Bakken crude oil through Ohio enroot to the east coast refineries. One of the things that makes Bakken crude oil so desirable is how easy it is to refine. Unfortunately the reason that it is so easy to refine is also what makes it so volatile and explosive. Millions upon millions of gallons of this hazardous material passes through urban centers on a daily basis. Rail companies are attempting to ease the public mind by trying to either phase out or upgrade the existing tanker cars, and adding new cars that have more advanced safety systems. They are also pushing for stricter guidelines for the transportation of crude oil. But these policies only are put in place after an incident has happened. For example, when the Lac-Megantic rail disaster happened the a new guideline prohibiting leaving a train unattended was implemented. This guideline could have saved lives had it been implemented before the accident. But with the current regulations and secrecy on the part of the railway companies the next Lac-Megantic disaster could happen anywhere, even in rural Athens Ohio.